<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?><rss xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/" xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/" xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom" version="2.0" xmlns:itunes="http://www.itunes.com/dtds/podcast-1.0.dtd" xmlns:googleplay="http://www.google.com/schemas/play-podcasts/1.0"><channel><title><![CDATA[#AltReports]]></title><description><![CDATA[Curated alternative investment ideas each week plus contrarian market news and analysis for self-directed independent investors]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com</link><image><url>https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDFn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4702885e-f555-46f3-b601-642df2a2f63a_500x500.png</url><title>#AltReports</title><link>https://www.altreports.com</link></image><generator>Substack</generator><lastBuildDate>Sun, 26 Apr 2026 11:09:59 GMT</lastBuildDate><atom:link href="https://www.altreports.com/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml"/><copyright><![CDATA[Independent Media LLC]]></copyright><language><![CDATA[en]]></language><webMaster><![CDATA[altreports@substack.com]]></webMaster><itunes:owner><itunes:email><![CDATA[altreports@substack.com]]></itunes:email><itunes:name><![CDATA[Hugues]]></itunes:name></itunes:owner><itunes:author><![CDATA[Hugues]]></itunes:author><googleplay:owner><![CDATA[altreports@substack.com]]></googleplay:owner><googleplay:email><![CDATA[altreports@substack.com]]></googleplay:email><googleplay:author><![CDATA[Hugues]]></googleplay:author><itunes:block><![CDATA[Yes]]></itunes:block><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 118,000 Homes Face Foreclosure Risk]]></title><description><![CDATA[Stress Becomes Supply]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/118000-homes-face-foreclosure-risk</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/118000-homes-face-foreclosure-risk</guid><pubDate>Fri, 24 Apr 2026 15:35:00 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/E8W4zXO30jM" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>118,000 homes just entered the foreclosure pipeline, and lenders are already taking more of them back.</p><p>Foreclosure filings jumped 26% year over year in the first quarter, while bank repossessions surged 45% as homeowner stress moved deeper into the system.</p><p>Auction volumes hit a six-year high, and scheduled foreclosure auctions rose 11% from the prior quarter, pointing to more distressed supply still working its way forward.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p>That pressure is also hitting prices: seller profit margins are at their lowest level since 2021, and condo values just posted their second-largest drop on record.</p><p>Here&#8217;s where financial pressure is turning into foreclosure supply, and where the pipeline is moving first:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#9888;&#65039; <strong>118,000 Homes Hit Foreclosure Risk</strong></p><p>&#128194; <strong>Foreclosure Starts Fill the Pipeline</strong></p><p>&#127962;&#65039; <strong>Auction Supply Reaches Six-Year High</strong></p><p>&#128201; <strong>Seller Profits Lose Their Cushion</strong></p><p>&#127754; <strong>Condo Prices Crack Under Pressure</strong></p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>The 90-Day Foreclosure Wave</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Retail Vacancy by Property Type</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> The War Has Changed the Housing Market</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/realestate/foreclosure-surge-sweeps-america-118-000-homes-at-risk-as-families-buckle-under-financial-strain/ar-AA20Zzeb?">Foreclosure Pressure Hits 118,000 Homes</a></strong></p><p>118,727 properties had a foreclosure filing in Q1, up 26% from a year ago, while bank repossessions jumped 45% to 14,020.</p><p>The bigger signal is that household financial stress is moving deeper into the foreclosure process, especially in South and Midwest markets like Indiana, South Carolina, Florida, Delaware, and Illinois.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://nationalmortgageprofessional.com/news/foreclosure-filings-surge-26-annually-pipeline-pressure-mounts">Foreclosure Filings Accelerate as the Pipeline Tightens</a></strong></p><p>Foreclosure starts rose 20% year over year to 82,631 properties, while March filings alone hit 45,921, up 28% from last year.</p><p>The key detail is that timelines are shrinking while volume rises, which means servicers, attorneys, and REO vendors are dealing with more distressed inventory moving through a faster process.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.scotsmanguide.com/news/foreclosure-auction-volumes-hit-six-year-high-signaling-post-pandemic-normalization/">Auction Volumes Hit a Six-Year High</a></strong></p><p>Completed foreclosure auctions rose 10% from the previous quarter and 33% from a year ago, bringing auction activity closer to pre-pandemic levels.</p><p>The investor signal is that distress is moving from filings into actual sale events, with scheduled foreclosure auctions up 11% quarter over quarter and more supply likely to flow through in coming quarters.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/home-sales-prices/q1-2026-home-sales-report/">Seller Profit Margins Fall to a Five-Year Low</a></strong></p><p>Homeowners made a 44.1% return on typical sales in Q1, down from 50.2% a year earlier and the lowest profit margin since the first quarter of 2021.</p><p>That matters because the equity cushion is thinning in key markets, especially in Florida metros like Ocala, Punta Gorda, Lakeland, and North Port-Sarasota, where profit margins fell sharply.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.redfin.com/news/condo-prices-may-2025/">Condo Prices Post Their Second-Largest Drop</a></strong></p><p>The median U.S. condo sale price fell 2.2% year over year in May, while condo sales dropped 11.9% and active condo supply hit the highest level in a decade.</p><p>The bigger signal is that HOA fees, insurance costs, special assessments, and weak buyer demand are turning condos into one of the clearest pressure points in the housing market, especially across Florida and Texas.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/118000-homes-face-foreclosure-risk">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Office Delinquencies Hit Record High]]></title><description><![CDATA[Rising Costs and Foreclosures]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/find-deals-before-the-market-wakes</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/find-deals-before-the-market-wakes</guid><pubDate>Fri, 17 Apr 2026 15:30:42 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/EDMAhkr1FNg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>It feels like the backlog finally started moving.</p><p>For a while, the pressure was building in places most investors could ignore. </p><p>It was sitting in servicing pipelines, delayed foreclosures, and extended office loans.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p>Now that pressure is starting to break into the open, with foreclosure starts rising, repossessions climbing, and office delinquencies pushing back toward record territory. </p><p>Home sales are still sluggish and mortgage demand is still thin, which means there is less room for fresh distress to pass through quietly.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128296; Foreclosure Pressure Starts Breaking Through</p><p>&#127970; Office Loans Slip Closer to the Edge</p><p>&#127968; Home Sales Stay Soft as Inventory Builds</p><p>&#128184; Mortgage Demand Still Looks Too Thin</p><p>&#9981; Moving Costs Start Squeezing Sellers Too</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Equity Rich Owners Are LOSING THEIR HOMES TO FORECLOSURE</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Delinquencies Hit a New Cycle High</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> How A $30K Property Turned Into Financial Freedom</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/foreclosure-filings-q1-2026-attom/">Foreclosure Filings Accelerate as the Backlog Starts Moving</a></strong></p><p>118,727 properties had a foreclosure filing in Q1, up 26% from a year ago, while starts rose to 82,631 and REO repossessions climbed 45% to 14,020.</p><p>The bigger signal is that timelines are shrinking at the same time volumes are rising, which means delayed distress is finally starting to move through the system.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/office-delinquencies-near-record-high-in-march/">Office Delinquencies Push Back Toward Peak Stress</a></strong></p><p>U.S. CMBS delinquencies rose to 3.43% in March, but the real move came from office, where the delinquency rate jumped 69 basis points to 8.76%, the second-highest level on record.</p><p>Four of the five largest new delinquencies were office loans, which tells you exactly where refinance stress is still hitting hardest.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.nar.realtor/newsroom/nar-existing-home-sales-report-shows-3-6-decrease-in-march">Existing-Home Sales Fell Again as Inventory Kept Rising</a></strong></p><p>Existing-home sales fell 3.6% in March to a 3.98 million annual rate, while unsold inventory rose to 1.36 million units and a 4.1-month supply.</p><p>Sales are still sluggish, prices are still holding up, and that leaves the market with less room to absorb fresh distress quietly.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/news/04102026-mortgage-applications-mba">Mortgage Demand Is Still Soft Even After Rates Eased</a></strong></p><p>Mortgage applications slipped another 0.8% last week, and purchase applications were down 7% from a year ago, the first annual decline since early 2025.</p><p>That tells you demand is stabilizing at a weaker level, not snapping back, which matters when more distressed supply starts coming through.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/gas-prices-moving-costs/">Diesel at $5 Is Raising the Cost of Moving Right Into Spring</a></strong></p><p>Diesel just hit $5 per gallon for the first time since December 2022, pushing up costs for movers at the same time high mortgage rates are already slowing transactions.</p><p>That combination means fewer moves, higher moving costs, and more friction for households already stretched by housing expenses.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/find-deals-before-the-market-wakes">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Stale Listings & Spiking Defaults]]></title><description><![CDATA[No Smoke Without Fire!]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/where-distressed-deals-are-forming</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/where-distressed-deals-are-forming</guid><pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 15:30:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/ATjzuDF7hAw" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A $536M Chicago skyscraper just hit special servicing over a missed $2.5M payment. Less than half a percent of the loan balance.</p><p>The borrower ran out of time.</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p>The same thing is happening across multifamily real estate right now. </p><p>For three years, lenders kept kicking the can on troubled loans, waiting for interest rates to fall so borrowers could refinance. </p><p>That wait is over. </p><p>$300 billion in multifamily loans come due this year, and borrowers keep coming back to their lenders with the same answer: the numbers do not work.</p><p>The CMBS special servicing rate just hit 11%, the highest it has been in over a year. </p><p>Office and multifamily loans both saw sharp increases in a single month. </p><p>On the home loan side, 878,000 borrowers are now seriously behind on payments or in foreclosure, the highest number since 2018.</p><p>Two property types. Two pipelines. Both filling up at the same time.</p><p>The investors who know where distressed deals are building right now are the ones who buy at the best price.</p><p>Here&#8217;s where the deals are forming:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127970; CMBS Distress Finds Its Next Targets</p><p>&#127968; FHA Stress Starts Breaking Through</p><p>&#128230; Unsold Homes Keep Piling Up</p><p>&#127786;&#65039; Insurance Costs Start Forcing Sales</p><p>&#127960;&#65039; Multifamily&#8217;s Refi Wall Is Here</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>How He Bought A 14-Unit With No Money Down</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Multifamily Investors Pivot to Oversupply Risks</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Oil Shock, CMBS Issuance and Private Credit Signals</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/capital-markets/cmbs-special-servicing-increase-trepp-133998">CMBS Special Servicing Rate Hits Highest Level in Over a Year</a></strong></p><p>The CMBS special servicing rate just climbed to 11%, its highest point in over a year. </p><p>Office and multifamily loans drove the move, each posting nearly 45 basis point increases in a single month. </p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/capital-markets/cmbs-special-servicing-increase-trepp-133998">Here is what the loan-level data says about where distress is concentrating next.</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.scotsmanguide.com/news/fha-distress-drives-spiking-delinquency-rates/">FHA Delinquencies Push Seriously Distressed Loans to Highest Level Since 2018</a></strong></p><p>878,000 borrowers are now seriously behind on payments or in foreclosure, the highest number since 2018, and FHA loans drove more than 80% of that increase. </p><p>Cure rates among FHA borrowers dropped sharply since last summer, pointing to a specific segment now running out of options. </p><p><a href="https://www.scotsmanguide.com/news/fha-distress-drives-spiking-delinquency-rates/">This is where residential distress is building fastest.</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/stale-listings-dominate-the-market-as-sellers-struggle-to-find-willing-buyers">52% of Homes Have Been Sitting Unsold for 60 Days or More</a></strong></p><p>That represents $347 billion in unsold inventory and 630,000 more sellers than buyers. </p><p>Some of those sellers are getting anxious, and anxiety creates a very specific kind of opportunity for buyers who know where to look. </p><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/stale-listings-dominate-the-market-as-sellers-struggle-to-find-willing-buyers">Find out where stale listings are concentrating and what that means for pricing.</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/04/03/rising-home-insurance-costs-can-influence-mortgage-delinquencies-relocations/">Insurance Premiums Rose 70% Since 2019 and Are Now Pushing Mortgages Into Delinquency</a></strong></p><p>A Dallas Fed study found that rising premiums pushed roughly 31,000 mortgages into delinquency in 2022 alone. </p><p>The households least able to absorb that increase are concentrated in specific markets, and those markets overlap with something distressed investors will want to see. </p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/04/03/rising-home-insurance-costs-can-influence-mortgage-delinquencies-relocations/">See which markets are tipping toward forced sales.</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.multihousingnews.com/is-a-distressed-sales-wave-on-the-horizon/">$300 Billion in Multifamily Debt Matures This Year. Lenders Are Done Waiting.</a></strong></p><p>$300 billion in multifamily debt matures this year alone, and borrowers who counted on refinancing into a lower rate environment are running out of options. </p><p>The distress showing up in CMBS data right now is only the visible portion of what is moving through the system. </p><p><a href="https://www.multihousingnews.com/is-a-distressed-sales-wave-on-the-horizon/">Read the full breakdown inside.</a></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/where-distressed-deals-are-forming">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 The Stall Is Turning Into Distress ]]></title><description><![CDATA[Rates killed the rebound]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/the-stall-is-turning-into-distress</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/the-stall-is-turning-into-distress</guid><pubDate>Fri, 03 Apr 2026 16:58:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/rJm0y69MEqc" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The market needed a strong spring. </p><p>It got a rate spike instead. </p><p>Sales are slipping, prices are flattening, and inventory is rising because homes are sitting for longer. </p><p>That is the kind of setup that starts squeezing anyone who needed a quick sale or easy exit this season.<br><br>Here&#8217;s where weaker sellers are getting squeezed first:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127968; The Great Stall Is On</p><p>&#128201; New Home Sales Plunge to 3-Year Lows</p><p>&#127960;&#65039; America&#8217;s Rental Market Is Splintering</p><p>&#128200; Mortgage Rates Snap Higher Into Spring</p><p>&#128205; Affordability Is Still Broken in Most Markets</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Nearly<strong> </strong>14% of pending sales in February were cancelled</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Metros With The Mos Canceled Sales</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> How These Investors Find Million-Dollar Wholesale Deals</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1254">The Great Stall Is On</a></p><p>The spring market was supposed to bring momentum back, but more of the country is sliding into stagnation as prices flatten, hot markets cool, and activity slows.</p><p>The headline is the stall, but the real signal is that housing is entering its busiest season with weaker demand and a much smaller margin for error.</p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/news/03202026-new-home-sales">New Home Sales Plunge to 3-Year Lows</a></p><p>Builders started the year with a stronger setup, then January took a big chunk out of it as sales fell and supply piled up.</p><p>New home sales dropped 17.6% month over month, months of supply jumped to 9.7, and prices moved lower as softer demand started showing up in the numbers.</p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/03/30/u-s-renters-priced-out-as-many-feel-homeownership-is-still-out-of-reach/">America&#8217;s Rental Market Is Splintering Under Affordability Pressure</a></p><p>The rental market is starting to look less like one national story and more like a map of who can still move, who is doubling up, and who is stuck in place.</p><p>The headline is affordability stress, but the real signal is that housing pressure is spreading across renters too, which matters when the whole market depends on mobility to keep flowing.</p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/20/spring-housing-market-mortgage-rates.html">Mortgage Rates Snap Higher Right as Spring Begins</a></p><p>What looked like a decent spring setup got interrupted fast when mortgage rates jumped back up just as buyers were supposed to come off the sidelines.</p><p>Rates hit 6.53%, active inventory rose because homes were sitting, and the market started looking less like a seasonal rebound and more like a slowdown happening in real time.</p><div><hr></div><p><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/figuresfriday/top-10-counties-with-the-largest-annual-increase-in-median-home-price-in-q1-2026/">Affordability Is Still Broken Across Most of the Country</a></p><p>The slowdown has not made housing affordable. It has just made it slower.</p><p>Prices rose year over year in 61.7% of counties and 97% of markets remain less affordable than their historical averages, which means motivated sellers are operating with equity but running out of time.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/the-stall-is-turning-into-distress">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Distress Is Here. Most Investors Aren't]]></title><description><![CDATA[Auction supply is building and the data shows exactly where to look]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/distress-is-here-most-investors-arent</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/distress-is-here-most-investors-arent</guid><pubDate>Fri, 27 Mar 2026 19:17:03 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/jE7xcydVB3o" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The market just got another reminder that distress rarely waits for a clean headline. </p><p>BRD is unloading a 14,000-lot Sun Belt pipeline after a Chapter 11 filing tied to failed builder deals and a projected $390 million revenue hit. </p><p>Now rates are rising again, with mortgage pricing moving closer to 7% as geopolitical risk pushes yields and oil higher. </p><p>That puts even more pressure on the part of the market that depends on confidence, forward demand, and flexible capital. </p><p>Land usually finds out first when that confidence starts slipping.</p><p>Here is where supply is stacking up and which states are clearing the fastest:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127959;&#65039; BRD&#8217;s Fire Sale Hits the Sun Belt</p><p>&#128200; Mortgage Rates Snap Back Toward 7%</p><p>&#127968; New Home Sales Sink to 3-Year Lows</p><p>&#128296; BRD&#8217;s 14,000 Lots Go to Auction</p><p>&#128205; Indianapolis Flashes a Foreclosure Signal</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>40% Firesale in Florida</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Office Properties Drive CMBS Modification Volume</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> The 6-Figure Real Estate &#8220;Model&#8221; That DOESN&#8217;T Require Rentals</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://therealdeal.com/national/2026/03/25/brd-land-investment-properties-head-to-auction-block/">BRD Land &amp; Investment&#8217;s Properties Head to the Auction Block </a></strong></p><p>A bankrupt developer is taking more than 14,000 potential home lots to the auction block after builder deals fell apart across the Sun Belt. </p><p>The headline is the sale, but the real signal is how quickly land turns into forced inventory when demand pulls back.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/mortgage-rates-now-closer-to-7-than-6-as-the-iran-war-escalates/">Mortgage Rates Now Closer to 7% than 6% as the Iran War Escalates</a></strong></p><p>What looked like a decent spring setup lasted about five minutes. </p><p>Rates jumped to 6.62%, purchase apps fell 5%, and the market is back to finding out how much demand was tied to temporary rate relief.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/news/03202026-new-home-sales">New Home Sales Plunge to 3-Year Lows</a></strong></p><p>Builders came into the year with momentum, then January took a chunk out of it. </p><p>New home sales dropped 17.6% month over month, months of supply climbed to 9.7, and prices started sliding with it.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/construction-development/bankrupt-developers-14000-lots-development-parcels-auction-133775">Bankrupt Developer&#8217;s 14,000 Lots, Development Sites Going To Auction</a></strong></p><p>BRD&#8217;s 14,000-lot pipeline is heading to auction after Chapter 11 turned a development story into a liquidation story. </p><p>Lost builder deals, $390 million in projected revenue gone, and a strained capital stack tell you how fast land can get exposed when entry-level demand rolls over.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/indianapolis-is-americas-best-buyers-market-but-theres-a-catch">Indianapolis is #1 For Buyers But Also Ranks High For Foreclosures</a></strong></p><p>One of the country&#8217;s most talked-about buyer markets is also one of its stronger foreclosure signals.</p><p>The setup sounds attractive until you start asking which neighborhoods are producing the filings and who is getting stuck with the fallout.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/distress-is-here-most-investors-arent">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Debt Wall Hits Residential and Commercial]]></title><description><![CDATA[Auction supply is building and the data shows exactly where to look]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/debt-wall-hits-residential-and-commercial</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/debt-wall-hits-residential-and-commercial</guid><pubDate>Fri, 20 Mar 2026 19:01:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/L1e9B7Iq2-8" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 2019, Juul paid $397 million for a 29-floor office tower in San Francisco.</p><p>It just sold for $90 million.</p><p>Madison Capital and PGIM bought the debt and are taking the building through foreclosure, and the price they paid is now the number every lender and office owner in that city has to reckon with.</p><p>Builders who spent two years offering rate buydowns and closing cost credits are now cutting prices outright, with Lennar dropping its average selling price 10% year over year to $386,000 in Q4 2025.</p><p>Underneath all of it, the foreclosure pipeline is filling, with Notices of Sale jumping 68% year over year in December across Texas, Ohio, and North Carolina.</p><p>Here is where auction supply is building and which states are moving the quickest:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127970; Juul's Tower Sells for 75% Off </p><p>&#128203; Office CMBS Hits an All-Time High </p><p>&#128296; Foreclosure Pipeline Accelerates Into 2026 </p><p>&#128201; Flip Profits Hit a 17-Year Low </p><p>&#127968; Builders Cut Prices for the First Time in History</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Home Prices About to Face MASSIVE Pressure</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Office Set an All-Time Delinquency High</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> The 2026 CRE Credit Squeeze: Banks Are Saying &#8220;No&#8221; While Other Lenders Say &#8216;Yes&#8217;!</p><div><hr></div><h2><strong>Passive Cash-Flowing Properties</strong></h2><p>Buy shares of investment properties, earn rental income &amp; appreciation for anywhere from $100 to $20k &#8212; let Arrived take care of the rest.</p><p><a href="https://arrivedhomes.go2cloud.org/aff_c?offer_id=1&amp;aff_id=1125">Browse Properties</a></p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/where-foreclosure-auctions-rose-in-q4-2025">Foreclosure Auctions Surge as Pipeline Accelerates Into 2026</a></strong><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/where-foreclosure-auctions-rose-in-q4-2025"> </a></p><p>Notices of Sale jumped 68% year over year in December 2025, with 23,235 recorded nationwide as properties advance rapidly from early filings into auction-stage activity. </p><p>Texas led all states with 4,104 notices in a single month, while North Carolina more than doubled year over year and Ohio surged 75%, signaling that distress is no longer building quietly but converting into actionable inventory at speed.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/Research_and_Data/CREFCs_January_2026_Monthly_CMBS_Loan_Performance_Report.aspx">Office CMBS Hits All-Time Delinquency High as Debt Wall Bites</a></strong><a href="https://www.crefc.org/cre/content/News/Items/Research_and_Data/CREFCs_January_2026_Monthly_CMBS_Loan_Performance_Report.aspx"> </a></p><p>The overall CMBS delinquency rate rose to 7.47% in January 2026, with office hitting an all-time high of 12.34% and special servicing reaching 17.11%. </p><p>The dominant driver is maturity defaults, with loans that are still cash-flowing but unable to refinance at today&#8217;s rates, creating a wave of distressed assets where borrowers are negotiating extensions rather than resolving the underlying problem.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/03/16/another-mostly-empty-office-tower-in-san-francisco-sells-for-75-off-juuls-abandoned-headquarters/">San Francisco Office Tower Sells at 75% Discount as Price Discovery Accelerates</a></strong></p><p>Madison Capital and PGIM purchased the debt on Juul&#8217;s former 29-floor San Francisco headquarters at roughly $90 million, against the $397 million Juul paid at peak in 2019, and are taking possession through foreclosure on a building that is now 87% vacant. </p><p>That transaction is the latest in a series of 60% to 80% discount sales in San Francisco, establishing a new pricing reality that lenders and owners across the market now have to mark against.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/flipping/2025-year-end-home-flipping-report/">Home Flipping Profits Fall to Lowest Level Since the Great Recession</a></strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/flipping/2025-year-end-home-flipping-report/"> </a></p><p>The typical home flip in 2025 generated a 25.5% return on investment, the lowest since 2008, as gross profit per flip dropped to $65,981 from $77,000 the prior year despite record home prices. </p><p>The home flipping rate fell in two thirds of metro areas and total flips declined to their lowest volume since 2020, as tightening margins and high acquisition costs push operators out of the market and reduce competition at the auction level.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/02/12/housing-affordability-crisis-new-home-price-cuts-realtor-com-report/">Builders Cut Prices Outright as Affordability Crisis Deepens</a></strong><a href="https://fortune.com/2026/02/12/housing-affordability-crisis-new-home-price-cuts-realtor-com-report/"> </a></p><p>Lennar cut its average selling price 10% year over year to $386,000 in Q4 2025, the lowest level since 2017, as nearly one in five new homes nationwide faced a price reduction. </p><p>Builders who spent two years using rate buydowns and closing cost credits to attract buyers are now competing on price directly, with the steepest cuts concentrated in Nevada, Texas, and the Carolinas where new construction inventory has been building for years.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/debt-wall-hits-residential-and-commercial">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 $1 Trillion Due. Owners Are Trapped]]></title><description><![CDATA[12 months of rising foreclosures and the pipeline is still building.]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/1t-debt-wall-is-starting-to-crack</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/1t-debt-wall-is-starting-to-crack</guid><pubDate>Fri, 13 Mar 2026 18:15:08 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/iCVKXSUNBqk" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Imagine you own an office building in downtown San Francisco.</p><p>The loan you wrote at 3% is sitting on a table next to a renewal offer at 7%, the floors above you are dark, and the rent coming in covers the old payment but not the new one.</p><p>Analysts are calling this the sorting year, the point where lenders across the country stop pretending and start deciding what to do with between $875 billion and $1.15 trillion in commercial loans that have run out of road.</p><p>At the same time residential foreclosure filings just recorded their 12th consecutive month of annual increases with completed foreclosures up 35% year over year.</p><p>Two waves of distressed inventory are converging at the same time and here is where stress is building fastest, which markets are cracking first, and why this matters for investors:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127970; $1T Debt Wall Cracks Open </p><p>&#127968; Foreclosure Pipeline Keeps Building </p><p>&#9888;&#65039; Risk Markets Are Concentrating</p><p>&#128201; Supply Surges, Demand Stays Frozen</p><p>&#128202; K-Shape Splits CRE In Two</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Why CRE Could Trigger the Next Financial Shock</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Special Servicing Rate Hits 11.1%, 2nd Highest Level Since GFC</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> The Multi-Million Dollar Mistake Most CRE Investors Make</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.prnewsblog.com/real-estate/26960/commercial-real-estates-debt-wall-the-reckoning-slips-into-2026">$1 Trillion in Commercial Loans Are Hitting Maturity in the Worst Refinancing Environment in a Generation</a></strong><a href="https://www.prnewsblog.com/real-estate/26960/commercial-real-estates-debt-wall-the-reckoning-slips-into-2026"> </a></p><p>Loans written at 3 percent are now facing renewal offers at 6 to 7 percent, and the &#8220;extend and pretend&#8221; strategy that kept borrowers afloat through 2024 and 2025 has run out of road. Analysts are calling 2026 the sorting year, the point where lenders begin separating properties that can survive from those heading toward distressed sales, restructuring, or foreclosure, with CMBS office delinquencies already above 12 percent.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/february-2026-foreclosure-market-report/">Foreclosure Pipeline Records Its 12th Consecutive Month of Annual Increases</a></strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/february-2026-foreclosure-market-report/"> </a></p><p>Completed foreclosures are up 35 percent year over year and foreclosure starts are up 14 percent, with Texas, Florida, and California leading the country in volume. In Lakeland Florida one in every 1,075 homes carries a foreclosure filing, and with 38,840 properties in active foreclosure proceedings the pipeline is building steadily with no sign of reversal.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/softening-home-prices-still-strain-affordability-as-foreclosure-and-unemployment-rates-rise-302712828.html">Softening Prices, Rising Foreclosures, and Unemployment Are Converging on the Same Markets</a></strong><a href="https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/softening-home-prices-still-strain-affordability-as-foreclosure-and-unemployment-rates-rise-302712828.html"> </a></p><p>Florida now leads the country with 16 of the 50 riskiest counties, defined by the combination of high foreclosure rates, rising unemployment, seriously underwater mortgages, and affordability strain consuming more than a third of annual wages. In the worst markets one in every 294 homes carries a foreclosure filing, and counties across Florida, South Carolina, and New Jersey are where distressed inventory is concentrating most visibly.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/03/10/supply-of-single-family-homes-surges-to-highest-for-february-in-9-years-demand-stuck-in-the-deepfreeze/">Supply of Single-Family Homes Surges to a 9-Year High as Demand Stays Frozen</a></strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/03/10/supply-of-single-family-homes-surges-to-highest-for-february-in-9-years-demand-stuck-in-the-deepfreeze/"> </a></p><p>Existing single-family home sales are running 22 to 29 percent below 2022 levels across every region of the country, while supply has climbed to its highest level for February since 2017. Prices that exploded 41 percent between 2020 and 2022 have barely moved in three months, keeping conventional buyers sidelined and putting sellers who need to transact under increasing pressure to accept terms.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/cre-is-not-immune-to-the-k-shaped-economy/">The K-Shaped Economy Is Splitting CRE Into Winners and Losers</a></strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/cre-is-not-immune-to-the-k-shaped-economy/"> </a></p><p>Premium retail, resort hotels, and experiential assets are holding up while mass-market commercial properties deteriorate, and analysts warn that an economy driven by asset wealth effects is uniquely exposed when markets pull back. The risk for CRE investors is concentration &#8212; when investment capital clusters around a narrow set of sectors, asset values across the rest of the market can fall sharply with very little warning.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/1t-debt-wall-is-starting-to-crack">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 401(k) Withdrawals Hit Record Highs]]></title><description><![CDATA[Households feel the squeeze!]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/401k-withdrawals-hit-record-highs</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/401k-withdrawals-hit-record-highs</guid><pubDate>Fri, 06 Mar 2026 17:44:02 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/cCccJzY-N_E" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>One in seventeen Vanguard 401(k) holders pulled emergency money out of retirement last year.</p><p>The top reason was avoiding foreclosure.</p><p>That same week, mortgage rates crossed below 6% for the first time in years, then reversed 13 basis points in a single session after Iran strikes pushed Treasury yields back above 4%.</p><p>Distressed inventory builds quietly in data like this before it ever hits an auction block.</p><p>Here is where it is concentrating right now:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127974; Retirement Accounts Crack</p><p>&#127968; Sales Freeze Deepens</p><p>&#128200; Rates Whiplash Back</p><p>&#128184; Services Inflation Surges</p><p>&#127970; CRE Risk Concentrates</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>The 401K Housing Trap Nobody Is Talking About</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  3x more workers raiding their 401(k)</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Slow Flips&#8212;Finding Cheap Houses for Mailbox Money</p><p><strong>Investor Prompt:</strong> Score the Seller Before You Score the Deal</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/personal-finance/retirement/record-numbers-of-workers-are-raiding-their-401-k-savings-bc89d5c3">Record 6% of Vanguard Retirement Holders Made Hardship Withdrawals in 2025 </a></strong></p><p>Vanguard reported that 6% of 401(k) participants took hardship withdrawals last year, up from 4.8% in 2024 and nearly three times the pre-pandemic average of 2%. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/affordability-takes-center-stage-in-the-2026-housing-market/">Existing Home Sales Hit Lowest Annual Pace Since 1995 as Affordability Resets Take Hold</a></strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/affordability-takes-center-stage-in-the-2026-housing-market/"> </a></p><p>Realtors are pushing sellers toward lower listing prices as comparable sales drag appraisals downward, with Houston inventory already at all-time highs.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/02/mortgage-rates-jump-sharply-higher-after-iran-strikes-reversing-last-weeks-decline.html">Mortgage Rates Reversed 13 Basis Points in a Single Session After Iran Strikes</a></strong><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/03/02/mortgage-rates-jump-sharply-higher-after-iran-strikes-reversing-last-weeks-decline.html"> </a></p><p>The 30-year fixed rate jumped from 5.99% to 6.12% on March 2nd as Iran conflict pushed 10-year Treasury yields back above 4%, erasing a week of declines that had briefly crossed the psychologically important 6% threshold. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/02/27/services-ppi-inflation-explodes-goods-ppi-jumps-as-companies-shuffle-tariffs-to-each-other-food-energy-plunge/">Services PPI Running at 10.2% Annualized as Tariff Costs Move Through Supply Chains</a></strong></p><p>Services PPI spiked 10.2% annualized in January while core goods PPI jumped 8.5%, both the worst readings since 2022, with professional and commercial equipment wholesaling alone rising 14.4% month over month.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/cre-is-not-immune-to-the-k-shaped-economy/">K-Shaped Economy Concentrating CRE Risk in a Shrinking Number of Asset Classes</a></strong></p><p>Delta Airlines reported premium cabin sales up 9% while main cabin dropped 7%, a dynamic NYU Stern economist Sam Chandan says mirrors the concentration risk now building across commercial real estate. </p><p><em><strong>Paid members:</strong> this issue includes an Investor Prompt that turns any public record search into a distress score before a property hits an auction list.</em></p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/401k-withdrawals-hit-record-highs">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Biggest Buyer Discounts in 12 Years]]></title><description><![CDATA[The market froze but the distress didn't.]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/biggest-buyer-discounts-in-12-years</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/biggest-buyer-discounts-in-12-years</guid><pubDate>Fri, 27 Feb 2026 16:32:56 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/ZP1u2oYL1ro" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Banks are sitting on $7.1 billion in seriously delinquent multifamily loans and the losses are compressing faster than anything we saw during the 2008 financial crisis.</p><p>One lender already read the writing on the wall and shut down completely this week.</p><p>And buyers who showed up to the table this month walked away with $32,000 off list price. </p><p>The sellers behind those discounts are running out of options.</p><p>Here is where that distressed inventory is starting to move and who is positioned to catch it:</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128273; Discounts Deepen</p><p>&#127974; Banks Break Point</p><p>&#128682; Lenders Exit</p><p>&#128201; Demand Hits Floor</p><p>&#128119; Jobs Revised Down</p><p>&#128128; Zombies Concentrate  </p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Coming Wave Of Distressed Sellers To Tank Home Prices</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong>  Multifamily delinquencies increased by <strong>3.4x</strong> in just two years.</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Banks Are Dumping 1000s OF FORECLOSURES Every Month - GET READY</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/real-estate-1242">Biggest Buyer Discounts in Over 12 Years Signal Full Shift to Buyer&#8217;s Market</a></strong></p><p>The average buyer is now receiving a 3.8% discount off list price, translating to roughly $16,000 on a median priced home, with motivated seller negotiations pushing discounts as high as $32,000. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/multifamily/multifamily-banks-loan-delinquent-distress-post-gfc-high-133352">Banks Holding $7.1 Billion in Seriously Delinquent Multifamily Loans as Loss Cycle Accelerates</a></strong><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/multifamily/multifamily-banks-loan-delinquent-distress-post-gfc-high-133352"> </a></p><p>Community, commercial, and savings banks are collectively sitting on $7.1 billion in multifamily loans 90 days or more past due, a delinquency rate that has risen to a post-Global Financial Crisis high. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/city-lending-shutdown/">City Lending Closure Signals Tightening Credit Access for Independent Mortgage Banks</a></strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/city-lending-shutdown/"> </a></p><p>Virginia-based City Lending shut down operations after originating $232 million in mortgages over the past year, citing regulatory strain and ongoing consolidation across the independent mortgage banking sector. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/02/19/pending-home-sales-plunge-to-record-low-in-the-data-from-already-low-levels-on-big-drops-in-the-south-midwest/">Pending Home Sales Hit Record Low as Demand Refuses to Recover</a></strong><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/02/19/pending-home-sales-plunge-to-record-low-in-the-data-from-already-low-levels-on-big-drops-in-the-south-midwest/"> </a></p><p>The South and Northeast posted the sharpest monthly declines, and cancellation rates remain elevated as buyers walk away from contracts over insurance costs and affordability strain.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/the-bls-revision-what-it-signals-for-commercial-real-estate/">Job Revisions Signal Deeper Stress Ahead for Commercial Real Estate</a></strong><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/the-bls-revision-what-it-signals-for-commercial-real-estate/"> </a></p><p>The BLS quietly revised 2025 job growth down from 584,000 to 181,000, making it the weakest year for employment growth outside a recession since 2003. </p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/q1-2026-vacancy-and-zombie-foreclosure-report/">Zombie Foreclosures Stay Low But Distressed Pipeline Remains Active</a></strong><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/q1-2026-vacancy-and-zombie-foreclosure-report/"> </a></p><p>Institutional investor-owned properties are sitting vacant at nearly three times the rate of owner-occupied homes, with Indiana, Illinois, and Alabama leading vacancy levels across investor portfolios.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/biggest-buyer-discounts-in-12-years">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Big Tech Is Stealing Your Deals]]></title><description><![CDATA[The deals still closing are not on Zillow]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/big-tech-is-stealing-your-deals</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/big-tech-is-stealing-your-deals</guid><pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 16:31:34 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/VYLzZPWD6CY" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>When Amazon paid $700 million for land a home builder picked up for just over $50 million, that was not an anomaly. </p><p>A data center developer came in right behind that and paid nearly $1 million per house to knock down an entire subdivision. </p><p>That is the capital now sitting across the table from residential developers on land acquisition. </p><p>And while that is happening at the top end, investors are already accounting for 30% of all single family home purchases across the country. </p><p>New listings are down 1.7%. Pending sales are down 5.8%. </p><p>The typical home is sitting 67 days before it goes under contract. </p><p>So what you have is a market where the conventional entry points are getting absorbed from both ends at once. </p><p>The investors who are still closing are doing it through semi-private networks and off-market deal flow that runs completely parallel to what shows up on any portal.</p><p>Here is where that deal flow is concentrating and what the investors still acquiring are doing differently:</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2" target="_blank" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/2aa3n8rabpt16s2se1jpwd56hzh" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png" width="867" height="206" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:206,&quot;width&quot;:867,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:53426,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/2aa3n8rabpt16s2se1jpwd56hzh&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/179823211?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!TJFz!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3463e04d-2112-4e2a-bedb-00b56aec3875_867x206.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Kingscrowd is raising on StartEngine to build a one-stop solution for anyone navigating the private markets.</p><p>We provide research, data, and tools to help people find, research, and track their next startup investment. </p><p>Join over 4,000 investors who have joined us on our mission.</p><p>See the current campaign on our <a href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/2aa3n8rabpt16s2se1jpwd56hzh">StartEngine offering page</a>. </p><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/2aa3n8rabpt16s2se1jpwd56hzh&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Find out more&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/2aa3n8rabpt16s2se1jpwd56hzh"><span>Find out more</span></a></p><p>This Reg CF offering is made available through StartEngine Primary, LLC. </p><p>This investment is speculative, illiquid, and involves a high degree of risk, including the possible loss of your entire investment.</p><div><hr></div><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128506;&#65039; Off-Market Goes Mainstream</p><p>&#128187; Big Tech Takes Land</p><p>&#128202; Investors Hold Steady</p><p>&#127968; Sales Hit New Low</p><p>&#9203; Deals Stall Out</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>2026 Price Wars Have Begun</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Investor Single-Family Homebuying Share Hits 5yr High</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> How to Win Pre-Foreclosure Listings</p><div><hr></div><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/how-off-market-deals-and-investor-demand-are-reshaping-residential-real-estate/">Off-Market Deals and Investor Demand Are Reshaping Residential Real Estate</a></strong></p><p>The U.S. real estate market is being restructured by off-market ecosystems, small investor activity, and semi-private deal networks operating outside the MLS.</p><p>Fix-and-flip operators, wholesalers, and small investors are increasingly acquiring homes in the $100,000 to $300,000 range through channels that bypass traditional portals entirely.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/data-center-land-deals-housing-shortage-81ea6e09">Big Tech Is Buying Up America&#8217;s Land and Home Builders Cannot Compete</a></strong><a href="https://www.wsj.com/real-estate/data-center-land-deals-housing-shortage-81ea6e09"> </a></p><p>Amazon paid $700 million for land a home builder acquired for just over $50 million, while a data center developer paid nearly $1 million per house to demolish an entire subdivision.</p><p>Tech giants are absorbing developable land across Northern Virginia, Texas, Georgia, and Illinois, pricing residential developers out of markets where housing shortages already exceed 75,000 units.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/investor-share-home-purchases-2025/">Investor Share of Home Purchases Holds at 30% in 2025</a></strong></p><p>Real estate investors accounted for 30% of all U.S. single family home purchases in 2025, with small and medium investors driving the majority of that activity. </p><p>Investors averaging 80,000 to 100,000 purchases per month are using all-cash offers to secure acquisitions below list price while traditional buyers remain sidelined by affordability constraints.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/real-estate-news/mortgage-rates-inflation-weekly-housing-market-update-february-13-2026/">Home Sales Hit 16-Month Low but Stable Rates Offer Hope</a></strong></p><p>Existing home sales dropped to a 16-month low in January as affordability strain persisted across all four regions. </p><p>Asking prices remain soft and nearly one in five new homes carried a price cut, with builders competing directly on price to keep transactions moving.</p><p><strong><a href="https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20260219851317/en/Redfin-Reports-Pending-U.S.-Home-Sales-Fall-6-As-Would-Be-Buyers-Sit-Out-Slow-Winter-Market">Redfin Reports Pending U.S. Home Sales Fall 5.8%</a></strong></p><p>Pending home sales fell 5.8% year over year during the four weeks ending February 15, the largest decline in a year. </p><p>The typical home is now taking 67 days to go under contract, the longest span since early 2019, as would-be buyers remain on the sidelines due to elevated ownership costs.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/big-tech-is-stealing-your-deals">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Where Credit Stress Becomes Inventory]]></title><description><![CDATA[Foreclosures, REOs, and price cuts are rising together]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/where-credit-stress-becomes-inventory</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/where-credit-stress-becomes-inventory</guid><pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2026 18:34:58 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Consumer delinquencies climbed to their highest level in nearly a decade as household debt continued to rise, and that pressure is now moving through the housing and credit system. </p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbjicxqm2op07v24w58pkzzh0em" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png" width="700" height="700" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:700,&quot;width&quot;:700,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:486284,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbjicxqm2op07v24w58pkzzh0em&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/179823211?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!7Is5!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb48be94a-6cfc-4ea4-b4f6-ca43e2ef4814_700x700.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p>Private equity firms and family offices need an institutional edge when evaluating investments. </p><p>9fin delivers the debt intelligence that top PE firms use to source distressed opportunities, conduct due diligence, and monitor portfolio risks.</p><p>While others wait for broker packages, leading PE firms use 9fin&#8217;s AI to spot overleveraged companies, covenant breaches, and refinancing risks in real-time. </p><p>Our platform analyzes 4,000+ issuers across leveraged finance, tracking credit deterioration that creates opportunities.</p><p>9fin provides institutional-grade coverage across high-yield bonds, leveraged loans, private credit, and CLO markets&#8212;the same intelligence restructuring advisors rely on to move first.</p><p>How PE firms and family offices use 9fin:</p><ul><li><p>Deal due diligence: Analyze debt structures before you close</p></li><li><p>Distressed sourcing: Identify overleveraged companies before opportunities become competitive</p></li><li><p>Portfolio monitoring: Track covenant compliance continuously</p></li><li><p>Risk management: Get instant alerts on credit events</p></li><li><p>Competitive intelligence: See what sophisticated investors see first</p></li></ul><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbjicxqm2op07v24w58pkzzh0em&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Get Your Free Trial&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbjicxqm2op07v24w58pkzzh0em"><span>Get Your Free Trial</span></a></p><p>Request your <a href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbjicxqm2op07v24w58pkzzh0em">free 30-day trial</a> and join the leading firms using 9fin to win deals faster.</p><div><hr></div><p>Foreclosure filings are up from a year ago, and a growing share of those cases is already converting into bank-owned homes as REO inventory surged at the end of 2025. </p><p>At the same time, the share of seriously underwater mortgages is edging higher, while office CMBS delinquencies have pushed to a new all-time high. </p><p>Even with easing mortgage rates, home sales fell sharply in January and homebuilders are stepping up price cuts as affordability strain and weak demand reshape the market. </p><p>Here&#8217;s where growing delinquencies are moving from credit reports into foreclosures, bank-owned homes, and discounted listings.</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128201; Delinquencies Hit High</p><p>&#128680; Foreclosures Keep Rising</p><p>&#127974; REO Supply Surges</p><p>&#127754; Equity Slips Underwater</p><p>&#127970; Office Defaults Climb</p><p>&#127968; Sales Stall Despite Rates</p><p>&#128184; Builders Cut Prices</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>1.5 Million Homeowners Falling Behind-Why It&#8217;s Happening now</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Multifamily Delinquencies Rise Again</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Delinquencies, Defaults and Investor Positioning in 2026</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif" width="498" height="364" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/af75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:364,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2320118,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/187855548?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!2HnV!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Faf75b1cd-21d7-4253-9b0d-904ef1d35fb9_498x364.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/02/11/consumer-delinquencies-at-highest-level-in-nearly-a-decade/?utm_source=rss&amp;utm_medium=rss&amp;utm_campaign=consumer-delinquencies-at-highest-level-in-nearly-a-decade">Consumer Delinquencies Hit Decade High</a></p><p>Household debt hit $18.8 trillion while delinquencies climbed to their highest level in nearly a decade. </p><p>Stress is building across credit cards, auto loans, student debt, and mortgages, with 58,000 new foreclosure notations added in Q4.</p><p><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/foreclosure-rates-filings-january-2026-attom-florida-nevada-delaware/">Foreclosure Filings Jump 32% Year Over Year</a></p><p>Foreclosure filings rose 32% year over year, with completed foreclosures up 59%. </p><p>Delaware, Nevada, and Florida led activity for the 11th consecutive month as rising ownership costs push delinquent borrowers into the foreclosure pipeline.</p><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/bank-owned-reo-inventory-surges-in-december-2025-signaling-new-distress-phase">Bank-Owned Homes Surge as Distress Converts</a></p><p>REO inventory surged 53% in December and nearly doubled year over year.</p><p>Florida, California, Ohio, North Carolina, and Texas saw the sharpest increases as earlier foreclosure filings convert into lender-owned supply.</p><p><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/most-recent/seriously-underwater-by-state/">Underwater Mortgages Are Rising Again</a></p><p>Seriously underwater homes rose to 3% of mortgaged properties in Q4, up from both the prior quarter and year earlier.</p><p>Equity cushions are thinning in multiple states as the trend reverses from recent lows.</p><p><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/office-cmbs-delinquencies-reach-new-all-time-high-to-start-2026/">Office CMBS Delinquencies Hit New High</a></p><p>Office CMBS delinquencies reached an all-time high in January, pushing the overall rate higher. </p><p>Multifamily and retail also climbed, showing commercial credit stress extends beyond offices.</p><p><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/existing-home-sales-nar-january-2026/">Home Sales Fall Despite Lower Rates</a></p><p>Existing-home sales dropped sharply in January even as mortgage rates fell to their lowest level since late 2022. </p><p>The West saw the steepest decline, signaling affordability strain persists regardless of financing conditions.</p><p><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/new-construction-price-cuts-share/">Builders Cut Prices to Keep Deals Moving</a></p><p>Nearly 1 in 5 new homes carried a price cut in late 2025, making new construction more likely to be discounted than resale inventory.</p><p>Cuts are concentrated in the South and West as builders compete on price to move elevated inventory.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/where-credit-stress-becomes-inventory">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Supply Surges 48%, Demand Hits 6-Year Low]]></title><description><![CDATA[Conversion rate hits 26.6% as mortgage delinquencies accelerate across 43 states]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/supply-surges-48-demand-hits-6-year</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/supply-surges-48-demand-hits-6-year</guid><pubDate>Fri, 06 Feb 2026 18:25:44 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!zj0I!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F930cf01b-130d-457c-aaae-96ed3a470ad6_646x458.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Foreclosure auction volume jumped 48% year over year while the auction sales rate fell to a 23-quarter low, creating the widest supply-demand gap since early pandemic levels. </p><p>More scheduled foreclosures are converting to completed auctions, with the roll rate rising to a 14-quarter high of 26.6% as late-stage delinquencies climbed 18.6% year over year. </p><p>Properties are moving through the distressed pipeline faster while fewer buyers compete for them at auction. </p><p>Credit bid-to-value jumped 351 basis points year over year, widening the spread between what sellers need to recover and what buyers will pay. </p><p>Forty-three states posted year-over-year gains in auction volume, led by Florida at 176%, Georgia at 140%, and Texas at 92%. </p><p>Here&#8217;s where auction supply is concentrating and what today&#8217;s pricing tell us about this market:</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127962;&#65039; Foreclosure Auctions Surge<br>&#128201; Homeowners Fall Behind<br>&#127974; Lenders Tighten, Liquidations Rise</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Here&#8217;s How to Profit from Pre-Foreclosures in 2026</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Foreclosure Auction Demand by State</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> How to Win at Foreclosure Auctions: Expert Tips &amp; Strategies</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif" width="480" height="260" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/b5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:260,&quot;width&quot;:480,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1592114,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/187088087?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!S_dm!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fb5378df0-e7b6-4952-a2ac-f5019eb85b8c_480x260.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/02/02/foreclosure-auction-volume-rises-48-to-nearly-six-year-high-in-q4/">Foreclosure Auction Volume Reaches 23-Quarter High</a></p><p>Foreclosure properties brought to auction (BTA) rose 7% quarter over quarter and 48% year over year in Q4 2025, according to Auction.com. </p><p>Forty-three states recorded year-over-year increases in foreclosure BTA volume. Texas led with 92% growth, followed by Florida (176%), Georgia (140%), and Illinois (41%). </p><p><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/trends/homeowners-are-falling-behind-on-their-mortgages/">Late-Stage Mortgage Delinquencies Rise 18.6% Year Over Year</a></p><p>The delinquency rate has risen for five consecutive months, with December marking the highest level since early 2023. </p><p>Mortgage delinquencies are now growing faster than other consumer credit categories, signaling specific stress in housing finance.</p><p><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/mortgage-loan-defects-qc/">Mortgage Defects Stabilize as Lenders Face New QC Challenges</a></p><p>As lenders tighten quality control and clean up loan books, fewer files are being kicked down the road. </p><p>The bias is shifting from extend-and-pretend toward resolution. In practice, that means more assets moving from servicing limbo into liquidation channels.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/supply-surges-48-demand-hits-6-year">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Deals Are Dying Before They Ever Close]]></title><description><![CDATA[Financing is failing late in the process]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/deals-are-dying-before-they-ever</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/deals-are-dying-before-they-ever</guid><pubDate>Fri, 30 Jan 2026 16:58:17 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Capital is moving, but it is moving carefully.</p><p>Refinancing pressure is now shaping distress across real estate markets.<br><br>Loans are entering special servicing while properties continue operating and collecting rent.<br><br>Home sales are breaking down at the contract stage as buyers reassess affordability late in the process.<br><br>Owners are adjusting prices and pursuing alternative financing as traditional capital grows selective.<br><br>Here&#8217;s where liquidity is tightening first and where distressed pricing is starting to surface:</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128201; CMBS Stress Spreads</p><p>&#127968; Office Assets Flip Uses</p><p>&#128176; Alternative Capital Takes Over</p><p>&#128221; Contracts Are Drying Up</p><p>&#10060; Buyers Exit Late</p><p>&#127959;&#65039; Supply Outpaces People</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>What CMBS Loan Maturities Reveal About This Market</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> $100B in CMBS Loans Mature This Year. Here&#8217;s What&#8217;s Ahead</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Sellers Are Accepting Lower Final Prices</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://cred-iq.com/blog/2026/01/09/cmbs-distress-rate-climbs-to-11-70-in-december-2025-amid-ongoing-refinancing-pressures/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif" width="498" height="498" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/be000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:498,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:4001506,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://cred-iq.com/blog/2026/01/09/cmbs-distress-rate-climbs-to-11-70-in-december-2025-amid-ongoing-refinancing-pressures/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/186308938?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Nmlk!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fbe000cd6-8b79-4938-a831-3929b4512b18_498x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://cred-iq.com/blog/2026/01/09/cmbs-distress-rate-climbs-to-11-70-in-december-2025-amid-ongoing-refinancing-pressures/">CMBS Distress Rate Climbs to 11.7%</a></p><p>CMBS distress rose for a third consecutive month as more loans entered special servicing ahead of missed payments. Maturity defaults and refinancing barriers are driving distress across office, multifamily, and retail, including properties with stable occupancy and cash flow.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/01/23/office-space-conversions-on-the-rise-in-effort-to-expand-housing">Office-to-Residential Conversions Accelerate</a></p><p>Office owners are shifting underutilized buildings into residential use at scale. Large conversion projects signal capital repositioning away from legacy office uses as owners seek alternative exits for impaired assets.<br><br><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/23/c-pace-cre-lending-record-deals.html">C-PACE Lending Sees Record Deal Volume</a></p><p>C-PACE financing is expanding as owners seek long-term, fixed-rate capital secured through tax assessments. The surge reflects demand for alternative financing structures as traditional CRE lending tightens.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/01/23/nar-pending-home-sales-report-reveals-9-3-decline-in-december">Pending Home Sales Slide 9.3% in December</a></p><p>Pending home sales declined across all regions, with the sharpest drops in the Midwest and Northeast. Contract activity weakened even as some prior deals moved to closing, thinning the forward transaction pipeline.</p><p><a href="https://www.redfin.com/news/home-purchase-cancellations-december-2025/">Homebuyers Are Canceling Deals at Record Rates</a></p><p>Over 16% of homes under contract fell out of escrow in December, the highest rate on record for the month. Buyers are exiting transactions late in the process as affordability and inspection issues surface.</p><p><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/01/29/californias-population-declines-again-200000-since-2020-relief-for-housing-shortage-as-new-supply-keeps-getting-built/">California Population Declines While Housing Supply Grows</a></p><p>California&#8217;s population has returned to 2017 levels while housing construction continues. Additional supply is entering markets with stagnant population growth, increasing pressure on pricing in select regions.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/deals-are-dying-before-they-ever">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Capital Is Leaving. This Is Where It’s Going]]></title><description><![CDATA[Follow the money, not the headlines]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/capital-is-leaving-this-is-where</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/capital-is-leaving-this-is-where</guid><pubDate>Fri, 23 Jan 2026 17:36:09 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mortgage refinances surged at the end of 2025, even as rates suddenly turned higher.</p><p>Owners are scrambling for liquidity before financing windows close. </p><p>At the same time, pending home sales plunged nationwide.</p><p>But here&#8217;s the disconnect most investors are missing: activity is picking up on the financing side just as buyers disappear from the market. </p><p>Condo prices are down the most since 2012, CRE prices edged lower driven by downtown office, yet price relief is not translating into liquidity.</p><p>These stories point to a market where assets are repricing but capital is retreating, not rotating. </p><p>Q4 foreclosure rates show where the stress is already surfacing. </p><p>Here&#8217;s where liquidity has dried up and where distressed pricing is starting to shift:</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#129482; Volume freezes nationwide now</p><p>&#128200; Pipeline fills, deals delayed</p><p>&#128682; Exit doors just closed</p><p>&#127970; Big money already positioned</p><p>&#128176; Yield opportunities finally emerging</p><p>&#128302; Office shows residential future</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>California Banks on Brink of Collapse, $47 Billion in Real Estate Loans Going Bad</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Pending Home Sales Fall to Lowest Level Since 2020</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> Cash-Strapped Owners Want Out Of South Florida Vintage Condos</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif" width="498" height="498" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:498,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2811564,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/185540908?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!J-Ii!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F8f5ec293-f20b-4b90-9095-160904b57d5c_498x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p></p><p><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/01/21/pending-home-sales-plunge-across-the-us-midwest-sees-worst-sales-on-record-northeast-2nd-worst/">Pending Home Sales Hit Record Lows in Key Markets</a></p><p>Pending home sales have collapsed across the US, with the Midwest hitting a record low and the Northeast recording its second worst dip.</p><p>That crash is choking off regular deals and forcing sellers to slash prices.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Build off-market seller relationships now while volume is frozen and competition is absent.</p><p><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/most-recent/foreclosure-rates-by-state/">Foreclosure Rates Spike as Homeowners Crack Under Pressure</a></p><p>Foreclosure starts are surging in places like Florida, Illinois and New Jersey, signaling that borrowers are finally buckling under rising rates and inflation.</p><p>That uptick is accelerating the pipeline of distressed properties, with states like Illinois and D.C. seeing starts jump nearly 50 percent year over year.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Track foreclosure filings in Illinois, Florida, and New Jersey today to position for inventory arriving in late 2026.</p><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/21/mortgage-refinances-surged-again-but-rates-are-now-suddenly-jumping-higher.html">Refinance Window Slams Shut as Rates Jump Again</a></p><p>Homeowners flooded the market to refinance at bargain rates, but lenders are now yanking mortgage rates sky-high.</p><p>This abrupt jump is choking off refinancing and dragging monthly payments back up.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Reach out to trapped homeowners who missed the refinance window and need exit options.<br><br><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/opportunistic-fund-targets-distressed-multifamily-in-high-growth-markets/">Institutional Funds Quietly Deploy Capital into Distressed Multifamily</a></p><p>Sunbelt multifamily markets are getting hammered by post-pandemic oversupply and looming debt maturities that are crashing rents and occupancy.</p><p>A new $2 billion opportunistic fund is gearing up to buy these underperforming properties at deep discounts across high-growth metros.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Win deals through speed and local market knowledge before they reach institutional buyers already circling distressed multifamily.</p><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/condo-investing-opportunities-2026-cash-flow-analysis">Why Condos Are Becoming the Best Cash Flow Play</a></p><p>Condo markets are broken with empty units piling up, rents dropping, and cash flow nowhere to be found.</p><p>Developers and owners are slashing prices to unload properties and hemorrhaging on carrying costs.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Focus on markets where rent-to-price ratios support sustainable cash flow instead of chasing distressed pricing alone.</p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/commercial-real-estate/price-drop-office-boston-msci-132851">Commercial Real Estate Shows How Frozen Markets Reprice</a></p><p>Office real estate got hammered in Q1, dropping 1.8% nationally and seeing Boston suffer the steepest hit with a 4% decline.</p><p>Lenders are pulling the plug on new office loans, tenants keep ghosting their spaces, and fire sales are lining up.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Watch for similar residential price adjustments over the next two quarters as this office pattern repeats.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/capital-is-leaving-this-is-where">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[How to Source Off-Market Self-Storage Deals in 2025]]></title><description><![CDATA[The Playbook Behind $229 Million in Acquisitions Across 52 Facilities in 24 States]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/how-to-source-off-market-self-storage</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/how-to-source-off-market-self-storage</guid><pubDate>Tue, 20 Jan 2026 16:31:24 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!GDFn!,w_256,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fbucketeer-e05bbc84-baa3-437e-9518-adb32be77984.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4702885e-f555-46f3-b601-642df2a2f63a_500x500.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Most investors chase the same listed deals, competing in auctions that squeeze returns and erode margins.</p><p>Meanwhile, sophisticated operators are building pipelines of off-market opportunities where they&#8217;re the only buyer at the table.</p><div class="subscription-widget-wrap-editor" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/subscribe?&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Subscribe&quot;,&quot;language&quot;:&quot;en&quot;}" data-component-name="SubscribeWidgetToDOM"><div class="subscription-widget show-subscribe"><div class="preamble"><p class="cta-caption">#AltReports is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid &#8230;</p></div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><input type="email" class="email-input" name="email" placeholder="Type your email&#8230;" tabindex="-1"><input type="submit" class="button primary" value="Subscribe"><div class="fake-input-wrapper"><div class="fake-input"></div><div class="fake-button"></div></div></form></div></div>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/how-to-source-off-market-self-storage">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Servicers Can't Clear What's Coming]]></title><description><![CDATA[Relief programs collapsed. Hidden inventory stacking. Nobody priced this in.]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/servicers-cant-clear-whats-coming</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/servicers-cant-clear-whats-coming</guid><pubDate>Fri, 16 Jan 2026 17:40:12 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Foreclosure filings surged 16% in 2025 as lender relief programs finally collapsed.</p><p>Florida and New Jersey are getting slammed with distressed inventory that&#8217;s already dragging down prices. </p><p>At the same time, existing home sales cratered to 1995 levels because sellers are pulling listings rather than take a loss.</p><p>REO properties are stacking up faster than special servicers can clear them, while national inventory hit just 3.4 months of supply.</p><p>The sellers who yanked listings can&#8217;t move properties at current prices and can&#8217;t afford to hold much longer. </p><p>When that shadow inventory breaks loose in spring or summer, it hits a market already drowning in foreclosures and bank-owned homes.</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128201; Foreclosure Filings Explode 16% Nationwide </p><p>&#127962;&#65039; Home Sales Crater to 1995 Lows </p><p>&#128176; $200B Mortgage Rescue Plan Falls Flat </p><p>&#128296; Flip Crisis: Profits Vanish, Foreclosures Coming </p><p>&#129309; Merger Frenzy Forces CRE Portfolio Liquidation </p><p>&#128202; Sales Beat Forecast, Distressed Deals Disappear</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Top 10 Florida Cities That WILL CRASH in 2026</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> U.S. Multifamily Demand Hit an All-Time High in 2025</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong> How to Retire with the Fewest Rentals Possible in 2026</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/2025-year-end-foreclosure-market-report/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif" width="498" height="395" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:395,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:2396963,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/2025-year-end-foreclosure-market-report/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/184783297?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!BXyo!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F06f81157-5e48-4c41-8dcc-f547a278a3bf_498x395.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/foreclosures/2025-year-end-foreclosure-market-report/">Foreclosure Filings Surge 16% as Relief Efforts Collapse</a></p><p>Foreclosure filings jumped 16% in 2025, proving lenders&#8217; relief efforts are falling apart.</p><p>That spike is flooding the market with distressed properties and finally cooling prices in hotspots like Florida and New Jersey.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Focus on Florida and New Jersey markets where foreclosure activity is highest.</p><p><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2026/01/14/sales-of-existing-homes-in-2025-drop-to-lowest-since-1995-sellers-massively-yank-listings-off-the-market-waiting-for-spring/">Existing Home Sales Plunge to 1995 Lows as Sellers Yank Listings </a></p><p>Home resales hit their weakest level since 1995 as would-be sellers yank listings off the market and buyers are left stranded.</p><p>This pullback is freezing prices and building up a stash of hidden inventory, priming a midyear glut.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Prepare for increased inventory in spring and summer when sellers who&#8217;ve been waiting may finally list their properties.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/01/15/experts-trumps-200b-mortgage-buying-spree-unlikely-to-move-rates-much/">$200B Mortgage Buy Won&#8217;t Move the Needle</a></p><p>The recent plan to buy $200B in mortgages barely made a difference to interest rates.</p><p>With the Fed still playing hardball, money stays tight and loan defaults are primed to rise.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Research distressed mortgage pools now before prices spike.</p><p><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/why-the-fix-and-flip-sector-is-poised-for-a-breakout-in-2026/">Fix-and-Flip Poised for 2026 Breakout </a></p><p>House flippers are getting hammered as high rates, cooling prices and scarce deals turn profits into losses.</p><p>In 2026, a flood of foreclosures and bank-owned homes paired with a Fed rate cut and looser lending will crash into the market.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Line up your financing and a reliable contractor team now.</p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/top-talent/2026s-frenzy-of-mergers-and-dream-deals-means-real-estate-portfolio-work-for-cre-consultants-132706">2026 Merger Mania Is Breaking Up CRE Portfolios</a></p><p>Big real estate firms are gearing up for a 2026 merger binge, and their existing property portfolios are about to come apart at the seams.</p><p>This scramble has consultants racing to cut underperformers and rebalance holdings as companies chase massive deals.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Research which real estate companies are merger targets. They often sell underperforming properties quickly before deals close.</p><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/14/existing-home-sales-end-2025-stronger-than-expected.html">Existing Home Sales Outpace Forecast, Supply Drought Pinches Distressed Deals</a></p><p>The market&#8217;s still broken &#8211; sky-high mortgage rates are gutting affordability, yet existing-home sales closed 2025 at a 5.3 million pace, eclipsing the 5.1 million forecast.</p><p>That unexpected strength is draining inventory to just a 3.4-month supply and ratcheting up prices across the board.</p><p>&#128161;Investor Takeaway: Look at smaller markets and rental property portfolios where tight inventory hasn&#8217;t pushed prices as high as major metros.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/servicers-cant-clear-whats-coming">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[💥 This Wasn't Supposed to Happen Yet]]></title><description><![CDATA[The 2026 CMBS meltdown arrived early. Lenders are trapped with no buyers in sight]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/this-wasnt-supposed-to-happen-yet</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/this-wasnt-supposed-to-happen-yet</guid><pubDate>Fri, 09 Jan 2026 18:37:55 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Columbia Property Trust just walked away from $1.7 billion in San Francisco office debt, quietly handing the keys to its lender. </p><p>This wasn&#8217;t a one-off failure. </p><p>Special servicers have been modeling exactly this as office and retail CMBS loans crack under permanent shifts from remote work and e-commerce, not a temporary cycle. </p><p>Those loans are slamming into maturity walls just as refinancing costs sit 200 to 300 basis points above origination, turning spreadsheet stress into real REO inventory. </p><p>Now lenders are trapped in the same decision across dozens of portfolios: bleed through multi-year workouts or dump assets into a buyer pool that&#8217;s barely showing up. </p><p>Defaults forecast for late 2026 are hitting desks today.</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127754; CMBS Meltdown: Office &amp; Retail Loans Set to Implode in 2026</p><p>&#127961;&#65039; Columbia Hands Keys on $1.7B SF Empire, Lenders Face Fire Sale</p><p>&#9888;&#65039; Foreclosure Tsunami: Sales Notices Explode 27% as Auctions Heat Up</p><p>&#9728;&#65039; Sunbelt Trap: Vegas to Miami Overheating, Delinquencies Skyrocket</p><p>&#128184; Affordability Crisis Triggers Foreclosure Boom Across America</p><p>&#128201; Mortgage Demand Collapses 10%, Lenders Drowning in Dead Inventory</p><p>&#9878;&#65039; Zombie Loan Crackdown: Regulators Target Predatory Debt Collectors</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>They Are Lying About The 2026 Housing Market</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> 20 Cities Where Downsizing Pays Off the Most</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong>  $20 Billion Worth of Sales Knowledge in 57 Minutes</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/sector-hot-spots-emerge-for-cmbs-default-risk-in-2026/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif" width="498" height="373" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:373,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:638685,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.connectcre.com/stories/sector-hot-spots-emerge-for-cmbs-default-risk-in-2026/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/184021382?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!KPmh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F20be66f0-4400-448d-9979-a8e9b4e72bb7_498x373.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/sector-hot-spots-emerge-for-cmbs-default-risk-in-2026/">CMBS Default Risks Set to Explode in 2026</a></p><p>Office and retail loans are buckling under remote work and online shopping, priming a wave of CMBS defaults in 2026.</p><p>Loans in these troubled sectors are maturing just as higher rates kill any hope of cheap refinancing, flipping the market from caution to chaos.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Research office and retail CMBS loans maturing this year.</p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/san-francisco/news/office/columbia-property-trust-defaults-on-17b-loan-backing-office-portfolio-132608">Columbia Property Trust Defaults on $1.7B SF Office Loan</a></p><p>Columbia Property Trust defaulted on a $1.7 billion loan backing its San Francisco office buildings, effectively handing the keys to the lender.</p><p>With vacancy rates soaring and refinancing dead in the water, the lender now faces fire sales and forced disposals.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Contact the lender or special servicer handling this portfolio to learn about potential sale timelines and property details.</p><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/foreclosure-notice-of-sales-jump-27-percent-year-over-year-what-the-notice-of-sale-surge-means-for-real-estate-investors">Foreclosure Sale Notices Spike 27% Year-Over-Year</a></p><p>Lenders are dumping more homes into foreclosure, with notice of sales jumping 27% in the last year.</p><p>We&#8217;re about to see a tidal wave of cheap properties and brutal bidding wars at auctions.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Start attending local foreclosure auctions to understand the current bidding dynamics before competition increases.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/01/07/report-identifies-top-10-highest-risk-u-s-housing-markets-in-q3-2025/">Sunbelt Homes Overheat: Top 10 Markets at Risk in Q3 2025</a></p><p>Home prices in ten overheated markets&#8212;from Vegas to Miami&#8212;are ripping past income growth and sending mortgage delinquencies skyrocketing.</p><p>As buyers bail and lenders tighten, these boomtowns are shifting from gold mines to foreclosure pipelines.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Track pre-foreclosure inventories in these top-risk markets now before competition and financing conditions get tighter.</p><p><a href="https://www.attomdata.com/news/market-trends/home-sales-prices/q4-2025-home-affordability-index/">Home Affordability Crater Sparks Foreclosure Boom</a></p><p>Home affordability is busted&#8212;our index is down 15% from last year and mortgage payments now gobble over half of median income.</p><p>That squeeze is pushing buyers out and kicking off a surge of foreclosures and bargain listings.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Focus on markets where median home payments exceed 50% of local income. These areas often see higher foreclosure rates.</p><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2026/01/07/mortgage-demand-drops-nearly-10percent-to-end-2025.html">Mortgage Demand Plummets to End 2025</a></p><p>Mortgage demand tanked nearly 10% in December, capping off a brutal end to 2025.</p><p>With refinancing drying up and buyers shying away from sky-high rates, lenders are stuck with inventory they can&#8217;t unload.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Jump in on distressed home loans now before banks write them off at pennies on the dollar.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2026/01/05/zombie-mortgages-are-under-close-examination-after-debt-collectors-profit/">Zombie Mortgages Under Fire as Collectors Cash In</a></p><p>Zombie mortgages are broken and debt collectors are scooping up dead home loans, slapping on endless fees, and milking borrowers for millions with little oversight.</p><p>Federal regulators and state lawmakers are swooping in with hearings, potential bans, and new rules to clamp down on these predatory debt grabbers.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Treat every zombie loan pool like a ticking time bomb. Do your own legal vetting and factor in looming regulatory shocks.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/this-wasnt-supposed-to-happen-yet">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🚨 Half-Price Deals Hit Bankruptcy Court]]></title><description><![CDATA[5,000-unit portfolio sells at 50% discount as CRE valuations collapse in real time]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/half-price-deals-hit-bankruptcy-court</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/half-price-deals-hit-bankruptcy-court</guid><pubDate>Fri, 02 Jan 2026 17:30:43 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/VpcrJnqZTyg" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Summit Properties just closed on 5,000 New York City apartment units for $451 million through bankruptcy court at roughly half the original valuation. </p><p>The deal signals that institutional buyers are positioning themselves to scoop up distressed assets as the commercial real estate market slides into 2025. </p><p>Office towers sit at 50% occupancy while mall vacancies climb and mortgage defaults accelerate faster than special servicers can process them. </p><p>Banks have tightened lending standards, which means overleveraged owners are running out of options and property valuations are getting marked down in real time. </p><p>The Summit transaction shows that sophisticated buyers with dry powder are hunting for scale in bankruptcy court rather than waiting for REO trickle-outs from reluctant lenders. </p><p>Multifamily assets in major metros are drawing the sharpest bids, but distress is spreading across asset classes as maturity walls loom and refinancing windows slam shut.</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127970; CRE Crash Warning: Empty Towers, Spiking Defaults Signal 2026 Chaos</p><p>&#127960;&#65039; Summit Scores 5,000 NYC Apartments for $451M in Fire Sale</p><p>&#128274; Office Market&#8217;s 2026 Mirage: Brace for Distress</p><p>&#127968; Housing Market Hits the Wall, Deals Lining Up</p><p>&#128273; Buyers Snatch Control as Sellers Crumble</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>Half-Built Homes Pile Up Across SW Florida</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> CMBS Delinquency Rates by Major Property Type</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong>  Fundrise CEO: Real Estate Has Finally Bottomed</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif" width="498" height="277" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/eab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:277,&quot;width&quot;:498,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:1440682,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/183231684?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!h5kg!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Feab281c6-ec39-4cb9-9bad-b8ba5fa80a1a_498x277.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/30/commercial-real-estate-2026-what-to-expect.html">CRE Crash Warning for 2026</a></p><p>Office towers are half empty, malls are choking on vacancies, and mortgage defaults are piling up faster than lenders can blink.</p><p>Banks are slamming on the brakes, forcing owners into distress and pushing property values down the cliff.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Focus your stable markets because they often recover faster.</p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/multifamily/summit-to-purchase-5000-nyc-units-451m-bankruptcy-sale-132530">Summit Grabs 5,000 NYC Units for $451M in Bankruptcy Sale</a></p><p>The owner defaulted and landed 5,000 apartments in bankruptcy court.</p><p>Summit swooped in with a $451M bid that slashed the price by roughly half.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Keep an eye on bankruptcy court filings for large apartment portfolios.</p><p><a href="https://www.connectcre.com/stories/will-2026-be-the-year-of-the-office-it-depends/">Office Market&#8217;s 2026 Mirage: Brace for Distress</a></p><p>Offices are bleeding occupancy, landlords are slashing rents and incentives to keep doors open.</p><p>Major tenants are doubling down on flexible work and suburban hubs, leaving downtown towers deserted and debt burdens rising.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Owners facing refinancing challenges may need exit options.</p><p><a href="https://www.redfin.com/blog/housing-market-year-in-review-2025/">Housing Market Hits the Wall, Deals Lining Up</a></p><p>Lack of buyers and sky-high mortgage rates have ground home sales to a halt and stalled prices.</p><p>Inventories are ballooning and price cuts are spreading as desperate sellers scramble amid stagnant demand.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Watch for lenders looking to clear inventory quickly.</p><p><a href="https://edition.cnn.com/2025/08/19/economy/homebuyers-upper-hand-housing-market">Buyers Snatch Control as Sellers Crumble</a></p><p>The housing market is broken&#8212;overpriced homes are piling up as buyers get spooked by sky-high rates.</p><p>That flip has handed the steering wheel to buyers, who are squeezing sellers for steep discounts and sweeteners.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Track delinquency rates in your target markets and reach out to homeowners in pre-foreclosure</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/half-price-deals-hit-bankruptcy-court">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[🕵️ Banks Are Holding Something Back]]></title><description><![CDATA[Shadow inventory hits 9-month high while delinquencies surge 35%]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/banks-are-holding-something-back</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/banks-are-holding-something-back</guid><pubDate>Fri, 26 Dec 2025 19:06:30 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/youtube/w_728,c_limit/be-e0joFGSU" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Mortgage delinquencies blew past Great Recession levels in November, with 60-plus-day lates up 35% year-over-year and even government-backed paper showing cracks. </p><p>The damage is already showing up in foreclosure data, which notched its ninth consecutive month of increases in August across preforeclosures, auctions and REO. </p><p>Regional banks and special servicers are sitting on swelling portfolios of non-performing loans while shadow inventory stacks up behind them, waiting for resolution. </p><p></p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png" width="440" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:70750,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/179823211?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Download the Guide&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol"><span>Download the Guide</span></a></p><p><a href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol">Download The Outsourced Guide to Accounting</a> to see how disciplined support strengthens every decision you make.</p><div><hr></div><p>Traditional buyers have stepped back from the mess, leaving lenders holding properties they never wanted to own in the first place. </p><p>The rate shock that everyone saw coming finally arrived, and borrowers who stretched to close deals 18 months ago are buckling under payment jumps they couldn&#8217;t absorb. </p><p>What&#8217;s hitting county filings now represents just the leading edge of distressed inventory that will define acquisition opportunities through 2025.</p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#128200; Mortgage Delinquencies Rip Past Great Recession Levels</p><p>&#127962;&#65039; Foreclosures Surge Again as Shadow Inventory Overflows</p><p>&#128274; Mortgage Mayhem: Sellers Stranded as Rates Skyrocket</p><p>&#128506;&#65039; Distress Hides in the Hot Spots</p><p>&#127960;&#65039; Stagnant Prices, Condo Slump, Inventories Spike</p><p>&#127754; U.S. Housing Drowning in Sellers as Buyers Sit Out</p><p>&#127970; Weak Deal Flow and Rising Defaults Signal a Choppy 2026 for CRE</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>CRASH in Lennar Home Sales is a Clue of What&#8217;s Coming in 2026</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Transactions UP 5%  to $25.44 billion through 3rd quarter</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong>  How to Turn Blighted Neighborhoods Into Profitable Real Estate Developments</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif" width="320" height="374.85714285714283" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:328,&quot;width&quot;:280,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:912366,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:null,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/182642752?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!f0ip!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F6b9ad847-16c4-4718-9d25-4725216490f4_280x328.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/november-sees-sharp-rise-in-u-s-mortgage-delinquencies/">Mortgage Delinquencies Rip Past Great Recession Levels</a></p><p>Mortgage delinquencies ripped past Great Recession levels in November, with loans more than 60 days late soaring 35% year-over-year and even government-backed mortgages wobbling.</p><p>That jump signals a tidal wave of foreclosures and bargain-basement bad-loan deals hitting the market as rate-hiked borrowers finally buckle.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Contact regional banks and loan servicers about their non-performing loan portfolios.</p><p><a href="https://www.noradarealestate.com/blog/housing-market-distress-mounts-as-foreclosure-activity-rises-for-ninth-month-in-a-row/">Foreclosures Surge Again as Shadow Inventory Overflows</a></p><p>Foreclosures jumped again in August, the ninth straight month of rising preforeclosures, auctions and bank repossessions leaving hundreds of thousands of homes in limbo.</p><p>With delinquencies ticking up and shadow inventory piling higher, traditional buyers are sidelined and lenders are stuck holding a bloated lineup of deadbeat-owned properties.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Check your county&#8217;s foreclosure filings weekly and track properties moving through the pre-foreclosure process.</p><p><a href="https://www.wsj.com/economy/housing/mortgage-rates-homeowners-08a609eb">Mortgage Mayhem: Sellers Stranded as Rates Skyrocket</a></p><p>Mortgage rates have shot past 8.5%, slamming the door on moves and trapping owners in deals they can&#8217;t escape.</p><p>Re-financings are at record lows and listings have evaporated, forcing banks to sit on a mountain of troubled loans.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Reach out to lenders about purchasing the problem properties that' they&#8217;re holding off-market.</p><p><a href="https://www.biggerpockets.com/blog/foreclosure-starts-fall-nationally-in-november-2025-but-key-counties-show-signs-of-distress">Distress Hides in the Hot Spots</a></p><p>National foreclosure starts fell 21% in November, but hot spots like Phoenix saw filings skyrocket 95%, and Riverside jumped 61%.</p><p>High rates and stretched renters are crushing landlords in those areas, so local distress is spiking even as the national total dips.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Start building your county-specific shortlist now</p><p><a href="https://wolfstreet.com/2025/12/19/single-family-home-prices-barely-up-yoy-condo-prices-fall-highest-supply-for-nov-in-years-sales-at-housing-bust-levels/">U.S. housing stumbles: stagnant home prices, condo slump, inventories spike</a></p><p>Single-family home prices barely budged year-over-year, condos slid into negative territory, and November saw inventory hit a multiyear peak.</p><p>With sales down at housing-bust lows, sellers are scrambling and price resistance is finally cracking.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Deep discounts are on the horizon as overleveraged owners capitulate.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2025/12/24/its-a-buyers-market-u-s-housing-market-has-37-more-sellers-than-buyers/">U.S. Housing Drowning in Sellers as Buyers Sit Out</a></p><p>The market is flooded with 37% more sellers than buyers, leaving listings to pile up and prices under pressure.</p><p>Soaring mortgage rates and buyer fatigue are forcing sellers to slash asking prices and sit on unsold homes.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Target markets with high inventory levels and look for sellers who&#8217;ve reduced prices multiple times</p><p><a href="http://ttps://allwork.space/2025/12/weak-deal-flow-and-rising-office-distress-signal-a-choppy-2026-for-commercial-real-estate/">Weak Deal Flow and Rising Defaults Signal a Choppy 2026 for CRE</a></p><p>Office landlords are hemorrhaging cash as deal flow dries up and tenants ditch space.</p><p>Lenders are pulling the plug with tighter credit and default rates are surging.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Lock in your financing and special-servicer contacts now so you can strike when distress peaks in early 2026.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/banks-are-holding-something-back">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item><item><title><![CDATA[💸 $1.75B Just Moved to Foreclosure]]></title><description><![CDATA[Lenders stopped waiting]]></description><link>https://www.altreports.com/p/175b-just-moved-to-foreclosure</link><guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.altreports.com/p/175b-just-moved-to-foreclosure</guid><pubDate>Fri, 19 Dec 2025 18:48:16 GMT</pubDate><enclosure url="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png" length="0" type="image/jpeg"/><content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Texas just put a number on the next wave of commercial stress: $1.75 billion in major loans sliding into December foreclosure as lenders finally slammed the brakes.</p><p>Foreclosure calendars are suddenly stacked with marquee collateral, including a $460 million farm portfolio, a $151 million retail block, and a $133 million office tower.</p><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png" width="440" height="513" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/c09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:513,&quot;width&quot;:440,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:70750,&quot;alt&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/png&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:false,&quot;topImage&quot;:true,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/179823211?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" title="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!Edxy!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fc09c1f05-8668-4761-b8ca-b2a7b7cb5395_440x513.png 1456w" sizes="100vw" fetchpriority="high"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p class="button-wrapper" data-attrs="{&quot;url&quot;:&quot;https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol&quot;,&quot;text&quot;:&quot;Download the Guide&quot;,&quot;action&quot;:null,&quot;class&quot;:&quot;button-wrapper&quot;}" data-component-name="ButtonCreateButton"><a class="button primary button-wrapper" href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol"><span>Download the Guide</span></a></p><p><a href="https://www.vpdae.com/redirect/xbzpeug3ao43r68p8zsqd13e0ol">Download The Outsourced Guide to Accounting</a> to see how disciplined support strengthens every decision you make.</p><div><hr></div><p>That is what it looks like when the workout period ends and special servicers stop pretending a refi window is coming back. </p><p>At the same time, the broader distressed pipeline is not thinning out, because auction volume and sale velocity are running ahead of 2025 forecasts. </p><p>Banks are dumping REO faster than expected, and that combination is pushing clearing prices down while widening yields for buyers who can close clean. </p><p><strong>In this edition of the AltReports:</strong></p><p>&#127970; Texas's Largest CRE Loans Slide Into Foreclosure</p><p>&#128296; Distressed Auctions Crush 2025 Forecasts</p><p>&#127968; Flipping Frenzy Fizzles as Q3 Deals Stall</p><p>&#128201; Lennar's Profit Dive Sparks Home-Price Slashes</p><p>&#127981; Industrial Distress Returns</p><p>&#128202; 5 States Leading America's Economic Freefall</p><p><strong>Video of the Week: </strong>4 Money-Making Real Estate &#8220;Trends&#8221; That Will Last into 2026</p><p><strong>Chart of the Week:</strong> Home equity loans reached the highest level since 2008</p><p><strong>Podcast of the Week:</strong>  38% Housing Crash Coming?</p><div><hr></div><div class="captioned-image-container"><figure><a class="image-link image2 is-viewable-img" target="_blank" href="https://therealdeal.com/texas/2025/12/01/texas-biggest-loans-headed-to-foreclosure-in-december/" data-component-name="Image2ToDOM"><div class="image2-inset"><picture><source type="image/webp" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_424,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_848,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw"><img src="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif" width="320" height="515.7281553398058" data-attrs="{&quot;src&quot;:&quot;https://substack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com/public/images/73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif&quot;,&quot;srcNoWatermark&quot;:null,&quot;fullscreen&quot;:null,&quot;imageSize&quot;:null,&quot;height&quot;:498,&quot;width&quot;:309,&quot;resizeWidth&quot;:null,&quot;bytes&quot;:3279529,&quot;alt&quot;:null,&quot;title&quot;:null,&quot;type&quot;:&quot;image/gif&quot;,&quot;href&quot;:&quot;https://therealdeal.com/texas/2025/12/01/texas-biggest-loans-headed-to-foreclosure-in-december/&quot;,&quot;belowTheFold&quot;:true,&quot;topImage&quot;:false,&quot;internalRedirect&quot;:&quot;https://www.altreports.com/i/182097956?img=https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif&quot;,&quot;isProcessing&quot;:false,&quot;align&quot;:null,&quot;offset&quot;:false}" class="sizing-normal" alt="" srcset="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_424,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 424w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_848,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 848w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_1272,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 1272w, https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!FGHh!,w_1456,c_limit,f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F73d59fa5-53e8-4097-a764-33998f7ed8fa_309x498.gif 1456w" sizes="100vw" loading="lazy"></picture><div class="image-link-expand"><div class="pencraft pc-display-flex pc-gap-8 pc-reset"><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container restack-image"><svg role="img" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 20 20" fill="none" stroke-width="1.5" stroke="var(--color-fg-primary)" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg"><g><title></title><path d="M2.53001 7.81595C3.49179 4.73911 6.43281 2.5 9.91173 2.5C13.1684 2.5 15.9537 4.46214 17.0852 7.23684L17.6179 8.67647M17.6179 8.67647L18.5002 4.26471M17.6179 8.67647L13.6473 6.91176M17.4995 12.1841C16.5378 15.2609 13.5967 17.5 10.1178 17.5C6.86118 17.5 4.07589 15.5379 2.94432 12.7632L2.41165 11.3235M2.41165 11.3235L1.5293 15.7353M2.41165 11.3235L6.38224 13.0882"></path></g></svg></button><button tabindex="0" type="button" class="pencraft pc-reset pencraft icon-container view-image"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20" height="20" viewBox="0 0 24 24" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" stroke-width="2" stroke-linecap="round" stroke-linejoin="round" class="lucide lucide-maximize2 lucide-maximize-2"><polyline points="15 3 21 3 21 9"></polyline><polyline points="9 21 3 21 3 15"></polyline><line x1="21" x2="14" y1="3" y2="10"></line><line x1="3" x2="10" y1="21" y2="14"></line></svg></button></div></div></div></a></figure></div><p><a href="https://therealdeal.com/texas/2025/12/01/texas-biggest-loans-headed-to-foreclosure-in-december/">Texas&#8217;s Largest Commercial Loans Slide Into December Foreclosure</a></p><p>Major Texas commercial loans totaling $1.75 billion are barreling into December foreclosure because lenders have run out of patience.</p><p>Foreclosure auctions are suddenly stacked with marquee assets like a $460 million farm portfolio, a $151 million retail block, and a $133 million office tower.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Large commercial sales often have complex title and financing requirements.</p><p><a href="https://www.housingwire.com/articles/distressed-auctions-outperform-2025/">Distressed Auctions Crush 2025 Forecasts</a></p><p>Traditional distressed pipelines aren&#8217;t drying up&#8212;auctions are on fire and banks are unloading properties faster than anyone expected.</p><p>Volume and sale-velocity have surged past projections, driving prices down and yields up for anyone ready to play.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Subscribe to distressed auction platforms in your target markets and set up alerts for new listings.</p><p><a href="https://themortgagepoint.com/2025/12/12/q3-home-flipping-trends-rates-roi-profits/">Flipping Frenzy Fizzles as Q3 Deals Stall</a></p><p>Home flippers are getting squeezed as renovation bills spike and mortgage rates stay sky-high.</p><p>That&#8217;s bleeding returns dry and leaving flippers stranded with unfinished rehabs.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Look for partially renovated homes that flippers are trying to sell.</p><p><a href="https://www.realtor.com/news/real-estate-news/lennar-earnings-price-cut-december-2025/">Lennar&#8217;s Profit Dive Sparks Home-Price Slashes</a></p><p>Lennar just missed revenue and profit targets as cancellations spiked and buyers tapped out at today&#8217;s mortgage rates.</p><p>So they&#8217;re chopping home prices by as much as 8% this winter and hinting at deeper cuts next year to clear backlog.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Builder inventory homes often come with incentives beyond the list price.</p><p><a href="https://www.bisnow.com/chicago/news/industrial/industrial-investors-are-getting-back-in-the-game-as-sector-is-poised-for-standout-year-132344">Industrial Distress Returns</a></p><p>Industrial deals cratered last year as relentless rate hikes and frozen financing left owners stranded and balance sheets bleeding.</p><p>Now lenders are carving out price cuts, pushing sellers to move or face takeover, and deal flow is quietly kicking back into gear.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Contact lenders about industrial properties they&#8217;ve taken back or are working to restructure. </p><p><a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-states-lead-u-worst-211114709.html">5 States Leading America&#8217;s Economic Freefall</a></p><p>Kentucky, West Virginia, Alaska, Michigan and Rhode Island are mired in the worst economic distress, with unemployment still through the roof and tax coffers running on fumes.</p><p>That mess is triggering deep budget cuts, credit rating drops and brutal service slashes as lawmakers scramble to plug gaping holes.</p><p>&#128161; Investor Takeaway: Look our for beaten-down municipal bonds in these five states.</p>
      <p>
          <a href="https://www.altreports.com/p/175b-just-moved-to-foreclosure">
              Read more
          </a>
      </p>
   ]]></content:encoded></item></channel></rss>