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⚠️Double Default Dilemma: CRE Crisis Grows
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⚠️Double Default Dilemma: CRE Crisis Grows

How long can lenders hold off the inevitable?

Nov 10, 2024
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⚠️Double Default Dilemma: CRE Crisis Grows
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Commercial borrowers in the real estate world are feeling the squeeze. With loans piling up and property values dropping, many are at risk of defaulting not just once, but twice over.

And while lenders are trying to "extend and pretend" things will get better, it's a short-term fix that could lead to a major market shakeup, especially for offices and retail spaces struggling to fill their doors.

Meanwhile, the Fed has finally decided to hold off on raising rates after a year of relentless hikes.

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Mortgage rates, however, continue their climb, making it harder and more expensive for homebuyers and investors.

The economy is in a bit of a balancing act right now; spending is down, job growth is sluggish, but the housing market is at least a little steadier—though no one’s sure what the Fed’s next move will be.

And in Texas, the real estate market has more inventory than it’s seen in years, with prices slowly dipping (but not by much).

In this edition of the AltReports:

📉Crisis Control

🔍 Fed Focus

⬆️ Realty Rise 

🏥Health Hiccups

🏘️ Booming Blocks

Video of the Week: How to Buy Properties for 20-50 cents on the Dollar.

Chart of the Week: Distress Rates Climbs Higher for All of CMBS

Podcast of the Week: Investments Outperforming Rentals


Growing Number Of CRE Borrowers At Risk Of Double Defaulting On Loans

Commercial borrowers are now at risk of double-defaulting on loans. 

Tighter lending standards and tanking property values are stirring up a storm, especially for office and retail spaces left high and dry by new work-from-home warriors and online shoppers. 

‘Extend and pretend’ is the name of the game, but who are we kidding? It’s just stalling the inevitable meltdown.

Fed Cuts Rates Again, but Path Forward is Cloudy

After a year of extreme rate hikes, the Fed finally calls for a "pause," leaving investors and homebuyers clutching their wallets. 

Meanwhile mortgage rates continue to float up like helium balloons.

The economy’s looking like a mixed bag: spending’s slow, job growth’s lukewarm, but hey—housing markets are a bit calmer.

Inventory of Existing Homes in Texas Balloons to Highest in Many Years

Texas real estate is bursting at the seams, with the highest inventory levels in years. 

Prices are dipping, but don’t get too excited—they’re still “ouch” high. Blame sky-high mortgage rates and iffy economic vibes for buyers hitting the pause button. 

For now, Texas is like a big-box store on Black Friday: full of deals, but still just a little out of reach.

Medical Properties Trust Reports $800M Loss As Another Struggling Tenant Is Sold

Medical Properties Trust just reported a hefty $800M loss after buying back a struggling tenant in a last-ditch effort to keep rent checks coming. 

Healthcare landlords are feeling the heat, scrambling to restructure and make “better capital allocations” (whatever that’s supposed to mean).

They're all crossing their fingers that this financial soap opera wraps up with a happy ending.

Top 10 Opportunity Zones Increasing in Home Values in Q3 2024

Opportunity Zones are on fire (figuratively), with property values shooting up faster than your morning caffeine fix. 

ATTOM’s latest report lists 10 zones where returns are hitting high notes, thanks to juicy incentives and shiny amenities. 

Investors are swarming, hoping to cash in on the government’s newest honey pot.

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