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šŸ”„Mortgage Meltdown, Money MIA

šŸ”„Mortgage Meltdown, Money MIA

Empty offices = empty wallets

Dec 01, 2024
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šŸ”„Mortgage Meltdown, Money MIA
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Office buildings are in trouble, big time. 10.4% of office-related loans are now overdue—just a hair away from the chaos we saw during the 2008 financial crash.

The shift to remote work has left office spaces empty, and rising interest rates are making it harder for landlords to stay afloat.

It’s a mess, and the ripple effects could hit more than just the people who own these buildings.

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On top of that, commercial real estate investments have hit rock bottom, the lowest they’ve been in over a decade.

Everyone’s nervous about where the economy is headed, so the money’s staying on the sidelines.

Meanwhile in South Florida is booming with retirees snapping up properties, and inflation is quietly raising the cost of everything except gas.

In this edition of the AltReports:

🚨 CMBS Crisis

šŸ’° Dollar Decline

šŸ› ļø Builder Blues

šŸŒ… Sunshine Shift

āš ļø Service Surge

Video of the Week: Retailers IN PANIC MODE AS 1000s of STORES CLOSE!

Chart of the Week: Balance of Distressed Commercial Property Loans is UP

Podcast of the Week: This Could Be Like Getting into Airbnb in 2012


Office Real Estate is Having a Midlife Crisis

The office CRE market just hit a new high score on the delinquency leaderboard, with 10.4% of office CMBS loans going belly-up—just shy of 2008’s chaos.

Thanks to a delightful cocktail of empty office buildings, remote work, and interest rates that refuse to chill, the sector’s basically screaming, ā€œHelp, I’ve fallen, and I can’t refinance!ā€

It’s the fastest two-year meltdown on record, leaving analysts clutching their spreadsheets and predicting doom.

CRE Investment Falls To Decade Low, But That Could Soon Change

Investors have practically packed up their cash and moved on, leaving CRE investments at their lowest in a decade.

Tight monetary policy, market mood swings, and economic jitters have turned the sector into a financial ghost town. But hang tight, CRE—maybe brighter days are just around the corner.

Unsold Spec Houses Jump to Highest since 2009 as Sales Suddenly Plunge

Builders are looking at their unsold inventory and collectively saying, ā€œOops.ā€ With unsold single-family homes hitting 2009 levels and sales plunging faster than you can say "mortgage rates," it’s not exactly builder paradise.

Buyers, apparently, have decided they’d rather not participate in the fun, citing affordability concerns and economic buzzkills.

The result? A glut of shiny new houses that no one’s buying.

The ā€˜Silver Tsunami’ Will Hit South Florida even Harder

Boomers are flocking to South Florida like seagulls to a beachfront picnic, sparking a real estate frenzy.

Warm weather, tax perks, and endless early-bird specials are fueling demand, leaving developers scrambling to slap together retiree-friendly housing.

Downsized homes with no lawns to mow and a hospital down the street? Sold!

If you’re not selling homes with grab bars and HOA fees, are you even in the game?

Inflation’s Back, Baby—and It’s Not Here to Make Friends

Sure, gas prices are down, but don’t pop the champagne yet.

Inflation’s decided to party on, with the Core Services PCE Index climbing to a seven-month high.

Translation? Everything you actually spend money on—like housing, healthcare, and schooling—is getting pricier by the minute.

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